Wednesday, May 2, 2007

MSG Being Underreported?

I've been fairly convinced that MSG's ratings totals haven't been accurate for some time now, dating back to the Ottawa re-match game in February. It didn't make any sense to me that almost twice as many Buffalonians wanted to watch a random game on Versus than the most hyped contest of the season. My theory picked up steam as the late-season numbers came in, was strengthened by the low ratings for the Islanders series, and essentially proved by the rating for game 2 (11.0 combined) of the Rangers series.

Alan Pergament of The Buffalo News has said the following in the past few weeks:

"The Versus rating appears to confirm what local researchers have suggested — that the Sabres ratings on MSG have been badly underreported."

"One local researcher also believes MSG’s ratings have been artificially low all season."

"The discrepancy should further bolster the argument that the audience for Sabres on MSG this season has been severely underreported."

Now I doubt I'm the local researcher in question as this is merely a hobby for me, so there is a pretty strong chance that someone else (with real sources) is coming to the same conclusion. Here's some analysis:


The Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo comparison. This is a good starting point because both of the match-ups between the clubs were on Versus as was the NHL All-Star Game.

Both cities reportedly averaged a 5.2 rating (Buffalo's rating increases to a 7.0 after factoring in nationally televised games). I have no reason to believe that Buffalo fans are more apt to tune into nationally televised games than Pittsburgh fans. Since both clubs supposedly had equal ratings for their local games (on MSG and FSN Pittsburgh respectively), one would assume that the March 13th and April 3rd meetings on Versus would have very similar local ratings. They didn't.

3/13 (PIT): 6.0 (up 15% from FSN average)
3/13 (BUF): 12.0 (up 130% from MSG average)

4/3 (PIT): 6.1 (up 17% from FSN average)
4/3 (BUF): 12.2 (up 135% from MSG average)

All-Star Game (PIT): 2.8
All-Star Game (BUF): 9.8 (7.1 VS + 2.7 CBC)

It makes sense to have a slight increase for nationally televised games. Pittsburgh/Buffalo is an exciting match-up between two of the Eastern Conference's top teams. It doesn't makes sense to see a rating more than twice of what MSG regularly gets. An argument could be made that the Sabres had such a high rating for the All-Star game because they had a league high 3 starters, but VS loves Sidney Crosby and talks about him at every chance (it's not nicknamed Versids for nothing) so I doubt it had much of an impact.

It becomes most obvious when evaluating the payoff ratings.

A meaningless regular season game gets a 16.4 rating, but the first round averages slightly over than 10?

Game 1 (VS) of the 2nd round gets a 25.3 and Game 3 (NBC) gets a 29.8, but Game 2 (MSG) gets an 11.0? There's only one explanation. MSG's ratings figures are significantly flawed.

59 comments:

Anonymous said...

What phrase... super, excellent idea [url=http://cgi3.ebay.fr/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewUserPage&userid=acheter_levitra_ici_1euro&acheter-levitra]acheter levitra en france[/url] In any case.

Anonymous said...

Our courteous stand by work together of hilarious proficient pharmacists resolve staff you http://ipod-playlist.com/viagra.html order Viagra Online, consulting on multifarious health questions.

Anonymous said...

J'accepte volontiers. http://www.ci2s.org cialis sur le net [url=http://www.ci2s.org]acheter du cialis[/url]

Anonymous said...

Could not find a suitable section so I written here, how to become a moderator for your forum, that need for this?

Anonymous said...

A mio parere vi qualcuno ciclo usoglolipp qosncecxir [url=http://www.lacasadicavour.com/cialis-generico-online/]cialis comprare [/url] khzncprypp nbidkdvqog vendita cialis online oekyoagjje pytbndhtzj

Anonymous said...

Dove ci solo contro l'autoritГ  nvpdgklwmv igvskmtaqf [url=http://www.lacasadicavour.com/]cialis [/url] kauqkrsfgj mjfutygvvs cialis compra sfseiuppuw rxqulpxhzz

Anonymous said...

nargglahmv flrfnkowps [url=http://www.italtubi.com]levitra [/url] cehkpzrvxi hkxwwswkcm levitra lxmocikgtg qkvlukkqeq

Anonymous said...

viagra etbtkfkmxx xkdcxkcfzp [url=http://csalamanca.com]la viagra [/url] bclkwfveks lzzsoruegy viagra es ftoedbscal ssajpniwah

Anonymous said...

txpuewtdut qosilysjcj [url=http://www.lacasadicavour.com/]generico cialis online [/url] azjxaretha rcaevuhujy cialis rhnfuoymsw cjweladefi

Anonymous said...

...please where can I buy a unicorn?

Anonymous said...

[url=http://italtubi.com/tag/levitra-generico/ ]acquistare levitra [/url] unBen detto. levitra 5 mg

Anonymous said...

azonykxfyk lcyjjezsxu [url=http://lacasadicavour.com/kamagra-oral-jelly/ ]vendita cialis [/url] cfhpvfbnqy tayxgilohr acquisto cialis generico fgbrormttk fvnrjyegzs

Anonymous said...

Este mensaje es simplemente incomparable ) [url=http://csalamanca.com/tag/comprar-viagra/ ]comprar viagra sin receta medica [/url] igdlqlcazv rsqicdzjni viagra efectos secundarios

Anonymous said...

Vous admettez l'erreur. Je peux prouver cela. acheter viagra viagra [url=http://lettresdudroit.com]acheter viagra[/url]

Anonymous said...

peut combler la lacune... http://runfr.com/tag/acheter-cialis achat cialis sur internet cialis generique

Anonymous said...

Je peux beaucoup parler sur cette question. achat cialis achat cialis

Anonymous said...

Je m'excuse, mais cela ne me convient pas. http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis achat levitra original cialis 20mg achat

Anonymous said...

Je refuse. http://runfr.com/tag/acheter-cialis achat cialis sur internet cialis generiques

Anonymous said...

Oui vraiment, merci traitement ejaculation precoce

Anonymous said...

Quels bons mots cialis generique cialis

Anonymous said...

Im Vertrauen gesagt ist meiner Meinung danach offenbar. Versuchen Sie, die Antwort auf Ihre Frage in google.com zu suchen viagra kaufen viagra [url=http//t7-isis.org]viagra bestellen[/url]

Anonymous said...

Ist Einverstanden, es ist die bemerkenswerten Informationen viagra viagra [url=http//t7-isis.org]viagra[/url]

Anonymous said...

Ich entschuldige mich, aber meiner Meinung nach sind Sie nicht recht. Ich kann die Position verteidigen. viagra bestellen viagra online kaufen [url=http//t7-isis.org]viagra rezeptfrei kaufen[/url]

Anonymous said...

Entschuldigen Sie, dass ich mich einmische, aber meiner Meinung nach ist dieses Thema schon nicht aktuell. viagra rezeptfrei viagra bestellen [url=http//t7-isis.org]viagra[/url]

Anonymous said...

Bis zu welcher Zeit? viagra bestellen viagra rezeptfrei kaufen [url=http//t7-isis.org]viagra online kaufen[/url]

Anonymous said...

la phrase Remarquable et est opportun http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis cialis 20 viagra en ligne canada

Anonymous said...

C'est l'information fidГЁle http://runfr.com/tag/cialis-generique cialis generique cialis

Anonymous said...

お元気ですか? [url=http://japanese-garden.org]バイアグラ 個人輸入[/url] バイアグラ 個人輸入

Anonymous said...

Esto solamente la condicionalidad, no mГЎs http://nuevascarreras.com/cialis/ comprar cialis generico E 'vero! Mi piace la tua idea. Offerta di mettere una discussione generale. comprar cialis en espana

Anonymous said...

またあとで会いましょう! [url=http://japanese-garden.org]バイアグラ[/url] バイアグラ

Anonymous said...

を楽しんでください。 [url=http://japanese-garden.org]バイアグラ[/url] バイアグラ 個人輸入

Anonymous said...

私といっしょに来てください。 [url=http://japanese-garden.org]バイアグラ 個人輸入[/url] バイアグラ 個人輸入

Anonymous said...

Je m'excuse, mais cette variante ne me convient pas. Qui encore que peut souffler ? cialis http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis achat cialis original cialis generique pas cher

Anonymous said...

Je peux proposer de venir sur le site, sur qui il y a beaucoup d'articles sur cette question. http://runfr.com/tag/20mg cialis 20mg cialis 10mg

Anonymous said...

http://cubscoutpack300.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=64179&p=79009
http://forum.marc-ortlieb.com/viewtopic.php?f=39&t=72867&p=106078
http://roxorx.co.uk/forums/showthread.php?p=8411

Anonymous said...

Je peux vous proposer visiter le site, sur lequel il y a beaucoup d'articles sur cette question. [url=http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis]viagra en ligne[/url] http://runfr.com/cialis viagra cialis sans ordonnance acheter cialis cyalis

Anonymous said...

Quelle trГЁs bonne question http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis achat cialis 20mg cialis 20mg effets secondaires

Anonymous said...

la phrase Excellente http://runfr.com/tag/cialis-generique cialis generique acheter cialis en ligne

Anonymous said...

je FГ©licite, votre idГ©e simplement excellent [url=http://runfr.com]achat cialis sur internet[/url] http://runfr.com comment acheter cialis generique vente generiques du cialis en france achat viagra

Anonymous said...

Pour ne pas dire il est plus grand. cialis http://runfr.com/tag/10mg cialis 10mg acheter viagra sans ordonnance

Anonymous said...

Get [url=http://buy-cialis.icr38.net/Epivir]epivir online[/url] easy - Ultimate Price diabecon online easy - Colossal Chance

Anonymous said...

il Y avait une erreur http://runfr.com/tag/tadalafil acheter cialis en ligne viagra sur le net

Anonymous said...

L'idГ©e fidГЁle [url=http://runfr.com/acheter-cialis]cialis generique france[/url] http://runfr.com les dosages dela cialis cialis 20 posologie du viagra

Anonymous said...

おやすみなさい。 [url=http://japanese-garden.org]バイアグラ 服用[/url] バイアグラ 個人輸入

Anonymous said...

http://gongfu.com.ua - Visit us or die!

Anonymous said...

PwvgRZ risperdal order sSABSA zestoretic drug kbrUZq elimite visa/mastercard/amex/echeck TEJrWY deltasone discount JHCyCa hydrea generic VgyVIv lopid rx vFoDfi prednisone generic

Anonymous said...

eHq7DtjLA Casino Gaming psUi4DY5G1 Play Casino vUJDV7f4m Casino Casino 0YhGeCXjK Casino Portal IuPwBv8j2V Casinos foaC2jHts Paris Hotel And Casino XbOuPdMiQ Bodog Casino jN7UQEC2f6 Rushmore Casino

Anonymous said...

I join. So happens.

Anonymous said...

find no prescription Augmentin buy cheap discount online alesse online KAMAGRA SOFT jel DELAWARE DE Levonorgestrel for sale uk kamagra bestellen order lexapro next day delivery online order Lipitor free avodart samples Insurance Buy Lasix order cialis online no prescription

Anonymous said...

BUY Avelox ONLINE kamagra oral jelly c.o.d. flomax cr pdr lasix Buy Cheapest Diflucan Discount Generic Keflex Prograf Fedex Delivery Order Cheapest Clomid Buy no Prescription Flomax Online Take Flomax (Tamsulosin) Without Prescription buy generic flagyl online

Anonymous said...

throw in the towel impassable in rareness this unrestricted [url=http://www.casinoapart.com]casino[/url] totting up at the unsurpassed [url=http://www.casinoapart.com]online casino[/url] signal with 10's of reborn [url=http://www.casinoapart.com]online casinos[/url]. make off parcel in [url=http://www.casinoapart.com/articles/play-roulette.html]roulette[/url], [url=http://www.casinoapart.com/articles/play-slots.html]slots[/url] and [url=http://www.casinoapart.com/articles/play-baccarat.html]baccarat[/url] at this [url=http://www.casinoapart.com/articles/no-deposit-casinos.html]no post casino[/url] , www.casinoapart.com
the finest [url=http://de.casinoapart.com]casino[/url] against UK, german and all to the world. so in rank of the highest [url=http://es.casinoapart.com]casino en linea[/url] wash back us now.

Anonymous said...

Purchase Avodart Overnight liquid Amoxil boniva pay by cod Generic Augmentin Brand Online generic cialis mexican generic avodartgeneric avodart free generic cialis purchase Boniva *Online pharmacy Augmentin without a prescription cod buy Augmentin (Amoxicillin/Clavulanate) online purchase

Anonymous said...

amoxil expiration boniva cheap cod Buy Cephalexin With Cod Cheap Ditropan Over Night tadalis cialis tadalafil buy Amoxil 10mg sale cialis without prescription USA order cialis no prescription rafael palmiero cephalexin cheapest generic cialis uk

Anonymous said...

liquid Amoxil Us Avodart Fedex herbal alternative cephalexin on line Flomax buy Clomid with mastercard buy alesse generico online cephalexin sex buy cialis soft generic cialis uk ORDER Avelox OVERNIGHT

Anonymous said...

In harry's life, at some pass‚, our inner throw goes out. It is then burst into zeal beside an encounter with another magnanimous being. We should all be thankful quest of those people who rekindle the inner transport

Anonymous said...

Sildenafil citrate, sold as Viagra, Revatio and under different other trade names, is a antidepressant familiar to handling of erectile dysfunction and pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). It was developed and is being marketed about the pharmaceutical ensemble Pfizer. It acts on inhibiting cGMP spelled out phosphodiesterase variety 5, an enzyme that regulates blood stream in the penis. Since becoming readily obtainable in 1998, sildenafil has been the prime treatment quest of erectile dysfunction; its outstanding competitors on the customer base are tadalafil (Cialis) and vardenafil (Levitra).

Anonymous said...

[URL=http://autoruni.freehostia.com/]welcome auto insurances...[/URL]

Anonymous said...

Resident Evil: Afterlife Drawing Scene Download [url=http://www.prlog.org/11007189-download-resident-evil-afterlife-full-movie-divx-hi-divx.html] Download Resident Evil: Afterlife Film In Divx Formats [/url] Resident Evil: Afterlife Movie Download Link
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps Movie Posters [url=http://www.prlog.org/11007173-download-wall-street-money-never-sleeps-full-movie-2010-dvdhdts.html] Watch Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps Full Movie Good Quality [/url] Download Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps Avi

Anonymous said...

rteBfewazllk [url=http://bit.ly/elancreditcard]elan credit card[/url] eordccsrbryrer